Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.011550 0.014039 0.017184 0.021552 0.027632 0.036085 0.049298
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008061 0.010592 0.014187 0.019945 0.029556 0.046370 0.082333
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006399 0.008808 0.012485 0.018955 0.031235 0.056983 0.130519
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005493 0.007842 0.011642 0.018875 0.034276 0.072825 0.226200
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004944 0.007289 0.011285 0.019470 0.038997 0.098239 0.463202
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004454 0.006730 0.010769 0.019547 0.042614 0.126331 0.992640
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003959 0.006081 0.009949 0.018706 0.043364 0.146199 1.938061
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003606 0.005629 0.009415 0.018349 0.045401 0.177428 5.357305
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003434 0.005475 0.009435 0.019321 0.052537 0.260457 124.807581
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003334 0.005436 0.009679 0.020961 0.063842 0.441524 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003236 0.005388 0.009890 0.022614 0.077479 0.814289 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003045 0.005131 0.009590 0.022661 0.083698 1.212626 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002816 0.004800 0.009129 0.022276 0.088860 1.899818 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002542 0.004352 0.008332 0.020592 0.084752 2.170921 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002335 0.004022 0.007773 0.019557 0.084197 2.880359 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002199 0.003826 0.007510 0.019474 0.090659 5.730318 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002109 0.003717 0.007446 0.020095 0.104338 23.643891 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002005 0.003568 0.007255 0.020176 0.114223 182.343278 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001875 0.003349 0.006852 0.019297 0.113402 1106.914846 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001776 0.003191 0.006591 0.018924 0.117994 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001734 0.003155 0.006652 0.019939 0.142738 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001713 0.003166 0.006844 0.021654 0.187103 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001690 0.003168 0.007013 0.023386 0.247348 NaN NaN